FRI 3AM EDT - Arthur Is Moving Into The Open Atlantic

Hurricane Arthur is exiting the NC coastline and moving into the open Atlantic. We will be watching for the possibility of impacts from Arthur to Cape Cod and SE Canada on Saturday. Thanks for using the Hurricane Tracker App and have a great 4th of July.

7/4/14 3AM EDT

Hurricane Arthur 11 PM update: 100 mph winds, NE at 18 mph, 976 mb.

7/3/14, 11:02 PM

Hurricane Arthur is now a CAT 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds. It will make landfall soon near Beaufort/Atlantic Beach, NC. Arthur is intensifying steadily as it interacts with the upper level jet. The feeder bands have rapidly expanded to the north & west and portions of SC & NC are already feeling the effects. The worst conditions overnight will be north & east of the center, primarily over Cape Hatteras. Arthur will continue on into the open Atlantic & possibly affect Portions of SE New England (TS Warnings are in effect for portions of Cape Cod) SE Canada. Arthur will be weakening as it passes east of New England. We will be up all night with real time conditions in the feed on Arthur's storm page.

Arthur is beginning to develop an eye.

Arthur is beginning to develop an eye.

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Please use the share button on the top part of the app to share screenshots of any data in the app with friends and family so you can keep them informed 

Follow our Twitter @hurrtrackerapp as we will be tweeting in real time non stop for the next 15 hours as the storm passes through. Our Instagram feed is @hurricanetrack to follow all of our graphics. We will be the most comprehensive source outside of the NHC for Hurricane Arthur.

hurrtrackerapp 7/3/14 5AM EDT Update:
Arthur has been upgraded to a hurricane. 5AM Arthur update: 75 mph winds, N at 10 mph, 985 mb. Hurricane Warnings are in effect.
7/3/14, 4:59 AM

We have been closely following the progress of TS Arthur and we suspected yesterday that it may try to intensify into a hurricane quicker than forecast. The Hurricane Hunters have been sampling the system for the past few hours and have found  dropping pressures (sign a storm in intensifying) and surface winds now over hurricane strength. Over the next 24-36 hours, Arthur will be in an environment that is very conducive for rapid development. Small systems over very warm waters can rapidly intensify. The NHC officially forecasts a peak intensity of 85 mph on FRI AM, but some of the most reliable models are forecasting a CAT 2 hurricane (96-110 mph) & the NHC may need to increase their intensity forecast. 

Here is a summary of the 5AM  EDT watches & warnings from the NHC. The Hurricane Warning now extends to the NC/VA border.

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The track for future Hurricane Arthur appears pretty straightforward, it will continue to move north followed by a turn to the NE sometime today as an upper level trough swings through the OHIO valley & picks it up. 

All the model guidance now forecasts the core of Hurricane Arthur to “scrape”  the NC coastline on FRI AM as an intensifying hurricane. 30-50 miles to the east or west of the NHC track will make a huge difference in the effects that will be felt in NC. We will be here with real time coverage up through landfall. We urge all residents to closely follow any evacuation orders that may be given by local authorities. Please check in very often for the latest.

Please use the share button on the top part of the app to share screenshots of any data in the app with friends and family so you can keep them informed 

Follow our Twitter @hurrtrackerapp as we will be tweeting in real time non stop for the next 48 hours as the storm passes through. Our Instagram feed is @hurricanetrack to follow all of our graphics. We will be the most comprehensive source outside of the NHC for Hurricane Arthur.

 

Summary from the NHC of all watches/warnings.

Summary from the NHC of all watches/warnings.

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Here are the anticipated conditions & impacts based on the latest NHC forecast track. Subject to change with future forecasts. Any slight westward deviation in the NHC track could bring Hurricane conditions very near or on the coast. It is going to be a VERY close call. Always consult with local authorities regarding local decisions & evacuations.

Here are the anticipated conditions & impacts based on the latest NHC forecast track. Subject to change with future forecasts. Any slight westward deviation in the NHC track could bring Hurricane conditions very near or on the coast. It is going to be a VERY close call. Always consult with local authorities regarding local decisions & evacuations.

TS Arthur seems to be organizing on satellite/radar this afternoon. The NHC track and models remain unchanged at the moment. Any slight westward deviation in the track, or an increase in the wind field could result in more Hurricane Watches or upgrade to Hurricane Warnings per the NHC. We will have a full discussion this afternoon. ~ Hurricane Tracker App Team.