Isaias Remains a Disorganized Tropical Storm. Effects Will Still Occur
Tropical storm Isaias has not really change much in organization this morning, a large burst of thunderstorms has developed east of the center. The storm has weakened some and winds are now 65 MPH. Further strengthening is not expected as conditions are not favorable. Florida appears to have dodged a bullet as the disorganized tropical storm is only producing dangerous weather offshore.
The primary threat inland along the track will be flooding rains, amounts will be between 6-7 inches with locally higher amounts from South Carolina to Virginia, TURN AROUND DON"T DROWN. if you see a flooded road, please turn around and find a safer route, there's no way to tell whether the water over the road is shallow or deep, or even if the road is still there in some cases. it only takes a foot or two to pick up a car and only 6 inches of water to knock you off your feet.
The NHC forecast is for Isaias to make landfall in South Carolina with winds of 65 MPH late tomorrow night. Just because it's not a hurricane and foretasted to stay below hurricane strength at landfall, does not mean the winds can’t be dangerous. 65 MPH winds can cause trees to fall, blow around loose items which can cause injury and can cause scattered power outages.
The current storm surge forecast is for 1-3 feet from the east coast of FL to near the GA/SC border. North of there, 2-4’ feet of surge is expected from the Charleston region to the NC outer banks. A storm surge watch is in effect, see the graphic below.
Isaias’s forward speed will increase Tuesday and the storm will track through the mid Atlantic and portions of the northeast where tropical storm force winds and a few inches of rain will be possible. This includes the New York City Metro and Boston. Stay safe if you are in the path of Isaias and stay tuned for more updates.
We will have another discussion on Isaias posted this afternoon on Monday 8/3/2020. Tap here for the latest and most up to date information on Isaias.
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Discussion written by Railey Kelly with the Hurricane Tracker App Team.