FRI 11AM EDT - Low Chance of Development Sun-Tues
The NHC is currently giving a 20% chance of development within 5 days off the SE US coast. Models have backed off on development somewhat since yesterday, but there still a low potential that an area of low pressure currently over SC may develop into a Tropical Depression or a low end Tropical Storm once it moves offshore late this weekend & into early next week. Upper level conditions appear to be at least somewhat favorable & the waters along the SE US coast are definitely warm enough.
If a Tropical Depression or a storm forms, it could move SW towards the FL coast or move east out into the Atlantic Ocean. Models are split on where this low pressure area may track.
Here is a look at the low level vorticity (spin in atmosphere). Area over GA/SC will move into the Atlantic.
All interests from NC down to FL need to keep a close watch on this potential during the next few days. There is no imminent threat of a tropical cyclone affecting the US coastline at this time. We will have frequent updates in the app, so be sure to check back for the latest information.
Threat levels are currently low along the SE US coast.