10/5/24 - Milton Forms In The Gulf, Expected To Become a Major Hurricane

The NHC has initiated advisories on TS MILTON in the Gulf of Mexico. It’s forecasted to become major Hurricane Milton before making landfall along the west coast of FL mid-week near Tampa. The initial forecast calls for a 115 mph category 3 storm. This storm will have the potential of causing life threatening impacts to a large portion of the Florida peninsula. Storm surge, flooding rains and hurricane force winds will all be impactful for a large part of Florida. All interests in FL and the NW Bahamas should track this storm closely. ALL GRAPHICS FOR MILTON WILL UPDATE with the new name ON THE NEXT NHC ADVISORY.

The latest forecast track takes the center of what is expected to be major Hurricane Milton right across the Tampa and Orlando metro ares on Wednesday. Expect winds over 100 mph along this track and extended power outages along with flash flooding. Storm surge along the central west coast of FL could be over 10 feet. Prepare now!

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10/5/24 - Tracking Invest 92L In The Gulf

Invest 92L has been designated in the western Gulf of Mexico. The NHC will upgrade this to TD 14 at 11AM EDT today. This system is expected to organized into Tropical Storm Milton and possibly even a strong hurricane before tracking towards the west coast of Florida mid-week. The hurricane center states there’s a high chance of development. Impacts across a good part of Florida will be possible Wednesday and Thursday. Most guidance is bringing this to hurricane force with a smaller amount of models showing a category 2 or 3 before landfall. All interests across Florida and the NW Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system closely over the coming days.

10/4/24 - Storm Likely To Form & Head To FL Next Week

A storm is now likely to form early this coming week and track towards the west coast of FL. Model guidance shows a category 1 or 2 hurricane may be possible. No spaghetti models yet until it is an invest. 70% chance within 7 days. We will have more as more data becomes available. All interests across FL should monitor this system closely over the coming days.

10/4/2412Z GEFS ensembles

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