6/17/25 - Erick To Impact Mexico As A Hurricane THU

TS Erick south of Mexico is forecasted to rapidly intensify into a hurricane with winds forecasted to peak near 110 mph before landfall Thursday in Mexico just east of Acapulco. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect. Erick will be the first hurricane of the year in the East Pacific Basin. To view Eastern Pacific storms, click on “E Pacific” at the top of the home or current storms page in the app.

Winds near of above 100 mph could impact southern Mexico near where the center makes landfall.

Hurricane conditions are expected Wednesday night and Thursday and possible in the hurricane watch area on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area late Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Tropical Storm Erick could produce rainfall totals of 8 to 16 inches, with maximum totals of 20 inches, across the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Guerrero. This rainfall may produce life threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches, with maximum totals of 8 inches, are possible across the Mexican states of Chiapas, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco.

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6/11/25 - CSU Releases Updated Forecast For 2025

The updated Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecast released today from Colorado State University continues to call for an above-normal season with 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes. A relatively warm Atlantic and likely absence of El Nino are the primary factors.

The latest CSU forecast numbers. Issued June 2025.

The Caribbean and subtropical eastern Atlantic are warmer than normal, while the eastern tropical Atlantic is near average. The current Atlantic sea surface temperature pattern is fairly similar to what we typically observe in June prior to active Atlantic hurricane seasons.

Link to the full CSU forecast. Click Here.

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6/8/25 - 2 Systems Form In the Eastern Pacific

The Eastern Pacific basin south of Mexico is a hot spot for tropical cyclone formation at the moment. Tropical Storm Barbara and Tropical Depression 3E formed today. TS Barbara is forecasted to become the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific, while TD 3E is forecasted to become TS Cosme and may be near hurricane strength in a few days. Both systems are expected to weaken mid-late week. Neither system poses a direct threat to the coast of Mexico. To view Eastern Pacific storms, click on “E Pacific” at the top of the home page in the app.

The Atlantic Basin is expected to remain quiet for at least the next 7 days, if not longer. Usually, when the East Pacific is active the Atlantic basin is quiet and that ius true for now.

The EURO Ensembles show all the activity remaining in the Eastern Pacific the next 10 days.

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