4/3/25 - CSU Predicts Another Above Average Atlantic Hurricane Season
Colorado State University has released its initial forecast for the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season and they are predicting another above average season. The forecast calls for 17 named systems and 9 hurricanes with 4 of them becoming major.
This year’s outlook isn’t quite as bullish as last year, but it is significant as a forecast of 9 hurricanes is tied for the second highest amount predicted in the last 30 years. Last year, 11 hurricanes were predicted and the season ended up with 11 hurricanes.
The CSU forecast is intended to provide a best estimate of activity in the Atlantic during the upcoming season, not an exact measure.
Warmer than average Ocean temperatures across the Atlantic basin and a forecasted neutral ENSO phase across the Pacific will be leading factors for another busy season. The Pacific basin is currently in a La Niña phase and is expected to become neutral by this summer. There is a 13% chance that an El Niño emerges during the peak of the season. If that happens, these numbers would end up being lower due to the increased wind shear that El Niño brings to the Atlantic basis.
The Atlantic season officially kicks off on June 1st and Hurricane Tracker will be here to follow each storm along the way. Thanks for using Hurricane Tracker!
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Hurricane Tracker App premium graphics example from October of last season.
