8/16/25 - Erin Has Become a Powerful Major Hurricane

Erin has quickly strengthened into a major hurricane quicker that what was forecast. Erin is now a category 3 hurricane and is forecasted to become a category 4 later today. The storm will be passing north of the Caribbean this weekend. The outer bands of Erin are expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall through Sunday across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals of 6 inches, are expected. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides, are possible.

Models now agree that Erin will pass well east of the Bahamas and the eastern U.S. seaboard. Erin is expected to produce dangerous surf and rip currents along the beaches of the Bahamas, much of the east coast of the U.S., and Atlantic Canada next week. Interests in Bermuda should continue to monitor the progress of Erin since there is a risk of strong winds, heavy rainfall, and high surf by the middle part of next week.

Always click on > Current Storms > Erin down below in the tab bar for the latest forecast and data.

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8/15/25 - Erin Has Become The 1st Hurricane of the Atlantic Season

Erin has become the 1st hurricane of the Atlantic season. It is forecasted to become a 140 mph category 4 storm as it turns north well east of the Bahamas early next week. Direct impacts to the Bahamas and eastern U.S are decreasing as models are now showing consensus that the turn north will occur before getting too close to land. Will monitor for any forecast changes.

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8/11/25 - TS Erin Forms In The Far East Atlantic

We are now tracking TS Erin as we have been expecting. Forecasted to become a major hurricane as it passes north of the Caribbean this weekend. Could be a Bermuda, Bahamas, Canada or U.S. threat down the road, but know one knows at this time. Let's see how this plays out this week. Stay tuned for updates as Erin tracks west across the Atlantic. Always click on > Current Storms > Erin down below in the tab bar for the latest forecast and data.

Premium graphics for Erin in the Hurricane Tracker App will be initiated with the next NHC advisory at 11AM EDT on Tye 8/12/25 and will update every 12 hours until/if Erin reached longitude 50W. 6 hourly updates beyond 50W. Possible land threat down the road. Lots to still work out with Erin. Forecasted to be a major hurricane this weekend as shown in the NHC forecast from this morning.

Click on the blue ‘discussion” button in the tab bar below for our latest analysis.

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