Tropical storm Isaias has not really change much in organization this morning, a large burst of thunderstorms has developed east of the center. The storm has weakened some and winds are now 65 MPH. Further strengthening is not expected as conditions are not favorable. Florida appears to have dodged a bullet as the disorganized tropical storm is only producing dangerous weather offshore.

The primary threat inland along the track will be flooding rains, amounts will be between 6-7 inches with locally higher amounts from South Carolina to Virginia, TURN AROUND DON"T DROWN. if you see a flooded road, please turn around and find a safer route, there's no way to tell whether the water over the road is shallow or deep, or even if the road is still there in some cases. it only takes a foot or two to pick up a car and only 6 inches of water to knock you off your feet.

The NHC forecast is for Isaias to make landfall in South Carolina with winds of 65 MPH late tomorrow night. Just because it's not a hurricane and foretasted to stay below hurricane strength at landfall, does not mean the winds can’t be dangerous. 65 MPH winds can cause trees to fall, blow around loose items which can cause injury and can cause scattered power outages.

The current storm surge forecast is for 1-3 feet from the east coast of FL to near the GA/SC border. North of there, 2-4’ feet of surge is expected from the Charleston region to the NC outer banks. A storm surge watch is in effect, see the graphic below.

Isaias’s forward speed will increase Tuesday and the storm will track through the mid Atlantic and portions of the northeast where tropical storm force winds and a few inches of rain will be possible. This includes the New York City Metro and Boston. Stay safe if you are in the path of Isaias and stay tuned for more updates.

We will have another discussion on Isaias posted this afternoon on Monday 8/3/2020. Tap here for the latest and most up to date information on Isaias.

If you want to upgrade the maps you see in Hurricane Tracker to our premium graphics which are much more detailed, check out more information here. Thank you for using Hurricane Tracker.

Discussion written by Railey Kelly with the Hurricane Tracker App Team.

Isaias has become become very disorganized today and has been downgraded to a tropical storm. It is currently battling shear and dry air to its west and southwest, which has lead to a collapse of heavy convection. Despite the recent downgrade, the NHC does expect that Isaias will become better organized over the next 12-24 hours or so as it nears the FL coast. The forecast is for Isaias to regain hurricane strength sometime Sunday morning. Weakening back to a tropical storm is forecasted on Monday. Peak winds are forecasted at 75 mph. Confidence is high it will not get any stronger than the forecast (75 mph) due to less than favorable conditions and land interaction.

Per NHC:

"Although Isaias has weakened after passing over Andros Island, some re-strengthening is expected tonight and Sunday morning when the cyclone will be moving over the warm waters of the Straits of Florida and the Gulf Stream."

There will still be a threat for heavy rain along the coastline and inland from southern Florida to the coast of North Carolina and points north. Rainfall amounts will be between 3 to 5 inches with locally high amounts possible. Flooding will be the main concern for inland areas with gusty winds possible in stronger feeder bands. Winds will be highest within 20-30 miles of the coastline. Storm surge of 2-4 feet is expected along most of the east coast of Florida later today and through the day tomorrow.

Beyond FL, Isaias will track up the eastern seaboard into the mid-Atlantic and New England bringing heavy rain, tropical storm force winds and storm surge. A landfall is forecasted along the upper coast of SC Tuesday am. The storm will move quickly enough through the Carolinas that flooding shouldn’t be too big of an issue there.

Models have trended more west with Isaias today and show it making landfall in southern Florida first and then the Carolina's Monday night or Tuesday morning. Expect some power outages all along the coast as winds begin to pickup while the storm passes by. Have a plan ready and be prepared ahead of time. Stay safe if you are in the path.

We will have another discussion on Isaias posted this afternoon on Sunday 8/2/2020. Tap here for the latest and most up to date information on Isaias.

If you want to upgrade the maps you see in Hurricane Tracker to our premium graphics which are much more detailed, check out more information here. Thank you for using Hurricane Tracker.

Discussion written by Railey Kelly with the Hurricane Tracker App Team.

Isaias Remains a Disorganized Tropical Storm. Effects Will Still Occur

Isaias Downgraded to a Tropical Storm, But Forecasted to Restrengthen Some