Matthew is a major hurricane. Check the storm page under "Current Storms" for all the latest information, maps & advisories. Information there is updated in real time. This section is not meant to provide real time information. Our latest full discussion is below:

Latest advisory & key messages from the NHC:

Overview: Matthew is a major hurricane and will be impacting the Bahamas over the next 24-36 hours and the the E FL coast Thursday and Friday. Hurricane force winds extend out up to 45 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend out 175 miles from the center.

Watches/warnings: Hurricane and tropical storm warnings have been issued for parts of FL. A hurricane watch is also in effect for the rest of the E FL coast north of the warning area. (see below). Hurricane warnings are also in effect for Eastern Cuba and the Bahamas.

Impacts: The areas currently under hurricane watches and warnings may not only experience hurricane force winds, but rainfall accumulations of 5-10 inches with isolated amounts of 20 inches across eastern Cuba. Storm surge may be 3-5 feet north of Palm Beach. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach SE FL late Thursday. The system has the potential to cause widespread damage and anyone along the path needs to prepare now.

Intensity Forecast: Matthew is expected to remain a major hurricane for the next few days. It's entirely possible Matthew could reach Category 4 status before reaching the east coast of Florida Thursday night. The ocean temperatures are more than warm enough to sustain a major hurricane. The upper level conditions also appear very favorable for possible strengthening.

Track Forecast: It's becoming more probable that Matthew may make landfall somewhere near Cape Canaveral as a major hurricane. Remember, it's been 10+ years since a major hurricane has made landfall in United States. The last one was Hurricane Wilma back in 2005. This weekend, Matthew will move to the north and likely impact coastal sections of SC/NC before turning to the east or south. By early next week, Matthew may loop back towards the west and try to make progress towards Florida. However, that's a long-term forecast and it may change.

Latest Model Guidance: The models have continued their trend to the west some. The Bermuda ridge of high-pressure over the western Atlantic has been stronger than what the models were forecasting. The high-pressure ridge is what will be responsible for pushing Matthew towards the coast. How strong this ridge and how fast Matthew moves will determine if the center will be able to reach the coast. By this weekend, an upper-level trough of low pressure will be moving across the United States and may be able to turn Matthew east before it can reach the Carolina coast, but that is not a guarantee. Timing will be very critical. We are getting within the 2-3 day window and there's less chance of the models flipping to a totally different solution.

Alert Levels: Impacts are high-imminent along Matthew's track over the next 2- days. See our alert level key below to determine your possible actions. We also posted a graphic with some actions you may want to consider if you are in the cone.

Conclusion: All interests from Florida and the entire eastern seaboard through the Canadian Maritimes, need to continue following the future forecast for Matthew. It appears the models are coming to the consensus that Matthew will get very close to the coast (could even make landfall) and anyone in the cone needs to really be watching this situation closely. We will be here with more updates as new data comes in. Thank you for using our service and we will have another update as conditions warrant.

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Matthew is a major hurricane. Check the storm page under "Current Storms" for all the latest information, maps & advisories. Information there is updated in real time. This section is not meant to provide real time information. This is where we post our analysis each evening. We will have a new detailed discussion on Matthew later on Monday evening. Please see our most recent discussion issued Sunday night below:

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Overview: Matthew is a major hurricane and will be impacting Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas over the next few days. Hurricane force winds extend out up to 35 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend out 205 miles from the center.

Watches warnings: See the image below for the latest watches & warnings from the NHC:

Impacts: The areas currently under hurricane watches and warnings may not only experience hurricane force winds, but rainfall accumulations of 15 to 25 inches with isolated amounts of 40 inches across eastern Cuba and western Haiti. 5 to 10 inches of rain is expected across eastern Jamaica. These rainfall amounts will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. 8 to 12 inches of rain is expected over the southeastern Bahamas. Storm surge could be as high as 7 to 11 feet and eastern Cuba and the south coast of Haiti. A 3 to 5 foot storm surge it is expected in Jamaica. Everyone in these regions should complete preparations by tomorrow morning in anticipation of Hurricane Matthew. Unfortunately, impacts may be devastating in some areas.

Intensity Forecast: Matthew is expected to remain at least a category 3+ hurricane through the next 48 hours and then begin to weaken a little bit on days four and five. Even though Matthew may weaken to a category 2 hurricane winds should remain over 100 mph through the next five days or so. The National Hurricane Center does caution their confidence in the intensity forecast is low.

Track Forecast: Matthew is expected to track towards the north through Wednesday then turn towards the northwest generally towards the southeastern United States coast. Confidence is fairly high with the overall track through the next three or four days.

Latest Model Guidance: Beyond five days, computer models still do not have a handle on what Matthew’s final track will be. Some runs are bringing Matthew dangerously close to the coast of the Carolinas (see image below), while many others keep Matthew safely offshore. A forecasted upper-level trough over the central United States and an upper level ridge of high-pressure over the western Atlantic will be the main steering features that determine the final track. If the high-pressure ridge is stronger than forecasted, it could push Matthew very close to the United States coast, but if the trough of low pressure is deep enough or moves east quickly it could turn Matthew out to sea and spare the United States seaboard. Hopefully in the next couple days we will have more clarity from the models in the guidance on Matthews final track.

Alert Levels: We have issued high to imminent alert levels along Matthews track for the next 2 to 3 days and we have also issued guarded to elevated alert levels for portions of the southeast United States coast as we do think there's a good chance Matthew could get within a couple hundred miles of the coast and maybe even bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the Carolina coast lines. Matthew will be close enough so that coastal flooding, beach erosion and rip currents will be a big problem along the coast. See our alert level key below.

Conclusion: All interests from Florida through the entire eastern seaboard, including the Canadian Maritimes, needs to continue following the future forecast for Matthew. There's still much uncertainty in the long range as to whether or not the United States or Canada will see direct impacts. We will be here with more updates as new data comes in. Thank you for using our service and we will have another update tomorrow evening.

Follow our Twitter feed @hurrtrackerapp for more detailed and frequent updates on the models and real time data

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Latest Discussion On Hurricane Matthew. Final Track Is Still Uncertain